Lecture: David Scott

You are cordially invited to attend the Flury Lecture.

Tuesday, March 3
4:00 - 5:00 p.m.
Swain East 140
Reception following the talk will be held at the Statistics House, 309
N. Park Avenue at 5:30 p.m.

David Scott, Noah Harding Professor of Statistics, Rice University, will present, "A Statistician Looks At Uncertainty."

Abstract:
Modern science relies on ever more complex models to understand data. Presenting the confidence of model predictions is a grand challenge. Faced with potentially hundreds or thousands of parameters, scientists often perform sensitivity analyses in order to assess the robustness of model predictions. Such one-at-a-time calculations are useful but limited. Visualization techniques can provide a fuller picture, but the availability of immersive technologies is still expensive and not commonplace. We examine some simple data and discuss the presentation of uncertainty. Avenues for research are described.